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is there a luck penalty for pre-2018 accounts?
Nov 3, 2022, 06:20 (UTC)
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Last Edit : Nov 3, 2022, 06:20 (UTC)
# 1

i know i am pretty ridiculous, but i just saw this idea on a post. is this just a crazy rumor? or is it true?

i bought this game when it first came out (even have a ridiculous costume for wizard that i never used). i did do the account transfer when it was needed. i did not want to lose the little bit of progress i have made in this game.

 would be useful to know if i have a permanent minus to my luck in the game.

 thanks all for the info

Last Edit : Nov 3, 2022, 07:08 (UTC)
# 2

tinfoil at best

Last Edit : Nov 3, 2022, 07:15 (UTC)
# 3
On: Nov 3, 2022, 06:20 (UTC), Written by vincent123

i know i am pretty ridiculous, but i just saw this idea on a post. is this just a crazy rumor? or is it true?

i bought this game when it first came out (even have a ridiculous costume for wizard that i never used). i did do the account transfer when it was needed. i did not want to lose the little bit of progress i have made in this game.

 would be useful to know if i have a permanent minus to my luck in the game.

 thanks all for the info

I strongly strongly doubt it.  Legal action would ensue.  Pretty easily proven if true.  I've seen zero evidence of it.

Last Edit : Nov 3, 2022, 08:21 (UTC)
# 4
On: Nov 3, 2022, 07:15 (UTC), Written by Columba

I strongly strongly doubt it.  Legal action would ensue.  Pretty easily proven if true.  I've seen zero evidence of it.

Actually it's pretty hard to prove it. Depending on the item you're looking it around 10k trys (all on the same fs) to have high enough attempts to validate it.

244 4634
Lv 62
Hnnie
Last Edit : Nov 3, 2022, 08:54 (UTC)
# 5
On: Nov 3, 2022, 08:21 (UTC), Written by CatDK

Actually it's pretty hard to prove it. Depending on the item you're looking it around 10k trys (all on the same fs) to have high enough attempts to validate it.

You can't prove anything because the structure of the system is unknown.

You don't know, for example, whether the enchant actually draws from the pool of 100 or maybe from the pool of 100,000.

3% of 100 is equal to 3% of 100,000 but the chance of hitting those 3% out of 100 is much greater than that of 100,000.

The facts, however, are that it does not matter because 3% is so little that it can be considered a statistical error.

Without changing enchantment system to progressive and guaranteed this game will still be as dead as it has been for years.

Last Edit : Nov 3, 2022, 09:34 (UTC)
# 6
On: Nov 3, 2022, 08:54 (UTC), Written by Senemedar

You can't prove anything because the structure of the system is unknown.

You don't know, for example, whether the enchant actually draws from the pool of 100 or maybe from the pool of 100,000.

3% of 100 is equal to 3% of 100,000 but the chance of hitting those 3% out of 100 is much greater than that of 100,000.

The facts, however, are that it does not matter because 3% is so little that it can be considered a statistical error.

Without changing enchantment system to progressive and guaranteed this game will still be as dead as it has been for years.

Look up Pseudo Random Number Generation. You have litterally zero clue how BDOs rng system works obviously. It is not true rng otherwise everyone would be extremely bad off. Not less than  quarter of the playerbase being thrown into a blender.

-Also i cant comment on the post about the rng system favouring new accounts , it seems tinfoil but this tinfoil thing has been around even when i started the game.Its just a rumour thats never been proven to be accurate or false. No data mine has everstated it existed. From what i have seen it can either be people are extremely lucky or certian accounts are extremely lucky (i wish mine was) all of this is speculation. If any of it turns out to be true PA would be in big trouble with multiple countries. Also if any of this was true it wouldve been leaked from a datamine or when people reverese engineered the game to make private servers. Which alot of the people who work on the private servers would leak that information (its how we got tap times on sticks were reduced by life skill levels like professional artisan and master and guru) alot of this information was gathered during  people making private servers an leaked as a data mined. BDO is still being reverse engineered each time a new big piece of content comes out. 

Edit: Another one  is leaving the game for a while an comming back give good  RNG or something. 

Link for explanation:

https://www.reddit.com/r/blackdesertonline/comments/ajqwqe/bdo_rng_explained_and_visualized/

Last Edit : Nov 3, 2022, 09:30 (UTC)
# 7
On: Nov 3, 2022, 06:20 (UTC), Written by vincent123

i know i am pretty ridiculous, but i just saw this idea on a post. is this just a crazy rumor? or is it true?

i bought this game when it first came out (even have a ridiculous costume for wizard that i never used). i did do the account transfer when it was needed. i did not want to lose the little bit of progress i have made in this game.

 would be useful to know if i have a permanent minus to my luck in the game.

 thanks all for the info

No, you don't have any "permanent minus" or a "permanent plus". This is just a fantasy.

RNG is RNG. It's unpredictable. Sometimes you get lucky, sometimes not. Sometimes players succeed even with less than 5% chance. Sometimes things downgrade/break even at above 70% probability, unless one prevents downgrade by any means(crons, J hammers).

It's just a bad luck on your side. :/

Last Edit : Nov 3, 2022, 12:28 (UTC)
# 8
On: Nov 3, 2022, 09:14 (UTC), Written by TitanOfWar

Look up Pseudo Random Number Generation. 

But also random can be computed, this is what the calculus of probability is about.

In theory, betting on numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 from the set of numbers 1-49 should have the same chance as betting on e.g. 1, 11, 21, 31, 41 and 49. But is anyone betting on 1-6 in the lottery? Nope. Why if the odds are the same for every possible set of numbers?

But the fact is that in BDO even a very high percentage of the chance of success very often means failure.

I do pen tuvala every season and every season this chance surprises me. Especially since at 7 pen I manage to achieve 6 in the first or second try at 63 FS (~35%) and last one is a real nightmare where I fail 7-15 times in a row reaching approximately 50% and higher.

Also Naru where we can click for free with very high chance. So 10 times fail with 65%? That's completely natural at BDO.

And that's the only reason why I don't support this system. If there is such a high failure rate at 65%, then with a 5% chance there is no real success.

I do not believe that accounts or characters have a hidden luck parameter. Even with a coin toss where we have a 50% chance, in 10 tosses we can get 10 heads or 10 tails.

Last Edit : Nov 3, 2022, 12:38 (UTC)
# 9
On: Nov 3, 2022, 08:54 (UTC), Written by Senemedar

You can't prove anything because the structure of the system is unknown.

You don't know, for example, whether the enchant actually draws from the pool of 100 or maybe from the pool of 100,000.

3% of 100 is equal to 3% of 100,000 but the chance of hitting those 3% out of 100 is much greater than that of 100,000.

The facts, however, are that it does not matter because 3% is so little that it can be considered a statistical error.

Without changing enchantment system to progressive and guaranteed this game will still be as dead as it has been for years.

Every time you make such a post, a mathematician dies. Please, let them live. 

Last Edit : Nov 3, 2022, 13:58 (UTC)
# 10

i dont think columba doesnt look so bad with luck to enchant his stuff

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